Population Projections - America Is Becoming Less White

The world is changing rapidly, especially its demographic structure conditioned by numerous migrations of the population. For example, demographics are rapidly changing in the USA because of the diversity of people who live there. Actually, by 2045, more than half the country is expected not to be white.

United States Census Bureau has the following projections. The 2030s are projected to be a transformative decade for the U.S. population. The population is expected to grow at a slower pace, age considerably and become more racially and ethnically diverse.  Net international migration is projected to overtake natural increase in 2030 as the primary driver of population growth in the United States, another demographic first for the United States.

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According to a Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) recent study, the non-Hispanic White-alone population is projected to shrink over the coming decades, from 199 million in 2020 to 179 million in 2060 — even as the U.S. population continues to grow. Their decline is driven by falling birth rates and a rising number of deaths over time among non-Hispanic Whites as that population ages.

On the other hand, U.S. census projections show that by 2043, African-Americans, Latinos, Asians, and other mixed racial and ethnic groups together will be a majority of the population. PRRI was asked if the likely impact of this coming demographic change will be mostly positive or mostly negative. Below are the answers.

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“Most Americans believe that ongoing demographic change, which will result in people of color making up the majority of the U.S population at some point in the next few decades, will have a mostly positive impact on the country. Nearly two-thirds (64%) of the public say that the impact of U.S. Census projections indicating that African-Americans, Latinos, Asians, and other racial and ethnic minority groups are likely to become a majority by 2043 will be mostly positive for the country. Approximately one-third (31%) of the public say these changes will impact the country negatively.

One religious group of respondents has a response which is different from all other groups, and they are white evangelical Protestants. Most of them actually don’t feel that demographic change will represent a positive development for the U.S.  More than half (52%) of white evangelical Protestants say a majority of the U.S. population being non-white will be a negative development, while fewer than four in ten white mainline Protestants (39%), Catholics (32%), and religiously unaffiliated Americans (23%) say the same.

As Christian author Nate Pyle said on Twitter, “Evangelicals go on mission trips to non-white countries to ‘love on’ the people but don’t want to love them as actual neighbors.”

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