# Dan: Simple probability questions

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Not really, since there are thousands of gods that the word "god" could be used to refer to.

The question is was there a creator God. There can be only one.

Re: "The question is was there a creator God. There can be only one."

WTF?.... We doing Highlander now? COOL!!! Get all the gods together, give each one a battle sword, and last god standing wins! Awesome! My money is on Sean Connery.

I would watch that. Maybe since there is no god(s), all the top religious leaders of the various religions battle it out instead?

THERE CAN ONLY BE ONE!!! *lighting and thunder in the background*

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Dan: The question is was there a creator God. There can be only one.

You are a monotheistic deist?

In my view, there does not even need to be one creator god.

That is a good point Peurii:

What is the probability god exists? Well according to Dan's "logic" it is 50%.

What is the probability that 2 gods exist? Same argument demands it is 50%.

What is the probability that 3 gods exist? Same argument demands it is 50%.

What is the probability that 4 gods exist? Same argument demands it is 50%.

Q: What is the probability that more than 1 god exists?

A: well given that 'logic' it is at least 150%.
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His "logic" is basically a contradiction generating machine.

The question was 'does a creator god exist?'

Maybe a god exists, but with no evidence for such a creator god, but tons of evidence that humans made up said gods, we can dismiss various god ideas just the same as we can dismiss all other unfounded ideas of which there is evidence contrary to the ideas existence/likelihood. Just like you can dismiss my claim that you owe me 1 million dollars cash even though you cannot "prove" that you do not owe me 1 million dollars.

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"In your question, the underlying sample space is the number of houses, IE 1000s, Joe could be at."

All of which are contained in one of the two options he gave you, either Joe is, or is not, at Tom's house.

Exactly so the sample space is skewed towards not being at home. Its not a boolean sample space/distribution.

Boolean means two choices, it does not mean two equally likely choices. The question I gave you was Boolean, the sample space has only 2 elements.

No the sample space is the number of locations Joe could be so its not boolean.

Its like asking if a die toss will come out a 6. We know the distribution of the answer already; thats inbuilt evidence in the question. Imagine if you did not even know what a die is; then you would answer 50%/50%.

With your question, if you did not know what a house was, then you would answer 50%/50% too

@Dan

How many sides are on the die.

Humans have come up with hundreds of creator gods. So which god are you talking about?

Sigh...

@Dan
You already agreed it was Boolean.

I warned you it would lead to contradictions, but even this surprised me:

Dan - ...we know its not a boolean question...

Dan - ...thats not a boolean question...

Dan - so not a boolean question at all...

V.S.

Dan - The question is boolean...

Oh dear...

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Yes

Re-read the thread dude; I won the argument.

@Dan Re: "Re-read the thread dude; I won the argument."

Dang. Are you by any chance kin to Charlie Zelenoff?

That would make Nyar Deontay Wilder lol

@Random Re: "That would make Nyar Deontay Wilder lol"

Oh, damn, dude! I about fell out of my chair laughing when I read that! LMAO....*thumbs up*.....

No you didn't "dude", you're delusional.

@Dan

How did you win?

The question was boolean.

Is the answer Godidit?

@ Sheldon
Or maybe Dan'sanotsocleverdick?

The Probability is ZERO We have no instance of any god. We have millions of instances of debunked gods. There can be no probability until the first god is discovered or until all the facts line up to point to a god and a place to look for it.

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