So what you guys think? Do you think they will be able to contain this virus?
My predictions for everyone, including myself, to (hopefully!) laugh at a year from now.
The covid-19 virus will eventually spread to nearly all areas. (Viruses do not respect borders or military prowess.)
However since people are now aware of this outbreak, the spread will be slower. Hot spots will show up, everyone in the area will panic and quarantines will happen in that area, and the outbreak will slow, only to pop up again somewhere else a cycle that will repeat many many times. Mass transportation will slow to essential only, with airports having screening not just for bombs etc, but if anyone has a fever or other signs of illness. It will be a long series of hopeful news of slow down, with bad news of new hot spots in unexpected areas.
And a million and one other issues will come up. Just today I read about 4 different prisons in china testing positive for covid-19. Is it fair to a prisoner to be locked up in close quarters to almost inevitably get sick? People in prisons are typically not sentenced to die, talk about a massive ugly morality/conscience issue with no apparent easy solution.
Eventually production will ramp up enough on the test kits that errs on the side of false positives, that work and work quickly, where anyone that travels, esp. by air and maybe other mass transportation will subject to a test before being able to board. Mass gatherings of people, (conventions, concerts will be canceled.) Many businesses will slow way down, especially if their business requires a lot of person to person contact. Any and all jobs that can be done remotely will be done that way. World wide economy will fall into a recession, but then bounce back once they are able to cure and/or manage covid-19. Covid-19 itself will be here to stay, circulating around infecting people for the next 10+ years unless other medical breakthroughs occur. Humans will adjust, economies will recover, eventually provided there is not other bad news.
In the end, a bit like what 9/11 did to airport screening, we will have a new screening station in the same area, one that checks for any possible virus. And global travel will be closely tracked.
Anti vaxxers are going to have a bad.. bad! time with it. Would not want to be an anti vaxxer right about now, or for the next few years..
These are all guesses, I have no special knowledge, just the free time and ability to critically analyze news/information as it is available to me.
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